Data on Climate Change
Using data from Climate Just, we’ve created a set of maps to highlight the areas of the borough that are most likely to be affected by climate change and where impacts on wellbeing could be felt. The neighbourhood data comes from publicly available sources such as the UK 2011 population census.
Community Flood Risk
This measures where social vulnerability and exposure to flooding coincide in a neighbourhood.
Maps are available for flooding from rivers and flooding from surface water due to heavy rainfall. The risk is modelled in the present day and two future scenarios; an increase of 2 degrees in global mean temperature by 2050 and an increase of 4 degrees (both compared against a baseline taken from 1961-90).
In addition to the neighbourhood risk, the risk to individual properties is mapped by dividing the neighbourhood risk by the number of people living in that area. This helps to identify neighbourhoods where only a few people may be at risk but their vulnerability is high.
The Met Office estimates that if carbon emissions are not reduced, by 2070:
- Winters will be warmer by 1.9-3.3℃ and summers will be hotter by 3.6-5.0℃.
- The hottest summer days will warm even more, by 3.7 to 6.8℃.
- The frequency of hot spells will rise from one every four years to about four times per year.
This map shows where negative social impacts are more likely based on the level of vulnerability of each neighbourhood.